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Agility of Crisis Response: From Adaptation to Forecast: Application to a French Road Crisis Management Use Case

机译:危机应对的敏捷性:从适应到预测:在法国道路危机管理用例中的应用

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摘要

Crisis situations are unstable phenomena which evolutions challenge the efficiency of crisis responses. The aim of this article is to present a platform that provides agility to crisis response by helping the crisis cell to make decisions. This platform ensures the context awareness by using crisis modelling. It is fed on the fly by data coming from both crisis field and response monitoring. Based on these data, it can (ⅰ) detect the moment when the crisis response is not relevant regarding the pursued objectives and (ⅱ) propose adaptation solution of the response to the crisis cell stakeholders. Moreover, the platform offers (ⅲ) a mechanism of crisis model projection in order to help the crisis cell to forecast the consequences of its decisions. A use case based on the 2010 road crisis in the North West of France illustrates the use of the proposed platform.
机译:危机情况是不稳定的现象,其演变挑战了危机应对的效率。本文的目的是提供一个平台,通过帮助危机小组做出决策来为应对危机提供敏捷性。该平台通过使用危机建模来确保上下文意识。来自危机现场和响应监控的数据可实时提供。基于这些数据,它可以(ⅰ)检测危机响应与所追求的目标不相关的时刻,并且(ⅱ)提出针对危机单元利益相关者的响应的适应解决方案。此外,该平台提供(ⅲ)危机模型预测的机制,以帮助危机小组预测其决策的后果。基于法国西北部2010年道路危机的用例说明了拟议平台的使用。

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