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MODELING FREQUENCY OF TRUCK CRASHES ON LIMITED-ACCESS HIGHWAYS

机译:限行公路上卡车碰撞的建模频率

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Freight can be efficiently transported between most locations in the country using large trucks.Number of trucks and vehicle miles traveled by trucks have both increased over the last severaldecades, thereby increasing the chances of more frequent truck crashes. Involvement of largetrucks in crashes can cause much damage and serious injuries, due to their large sizes and heavyweights. The purpose of this study was to identify the relationships between large truck crashesand traffic and geometric characteristics on limited access highways. Crash and traffic- andgeometric-related data for Kansas were utilized in this study. A Poisson regression model and anegative binomial regression model were developed for understanding the relationships betweenlarge truck crashes and traffic and geometric characteristics. Based on model-fitting statistics, thenegative binomial model was found to be the better model and was used to identify the importantcharacteristics. Significant variables in the negative binomial model were section length, numberof lanes, horizontal curvature, vertical grade, Annual Average Daily Traffic (AADT) per lane,large truck percentage, and inside shoulder width. Highway design features such as horizontalcurvature, vertical grade, and inside shoulder width are factors which can be implemented toprevent large truck crashes. By addressing identified factors, safety could be promoted throughintroduction of appropriate engineering improvements.
机译:可以使用大型卡车在该国大部分地区之间高效地运输货物。在过去的数年中,卡车的数量和卡车行驶的里程均增加了 十年,从而增加了卡车撞车事故的几率。涉及量大 撞车的卡车尺寸大,重量大,可能会造成很大的伤害和严重的伤害。 重量。这项研究的目的是确定大型卡车撞车事故之间的关系 以及有限通行高速公路上的交通和几何特征。崩溃和流量- 这项研究利用了堪萨斯州的几何相关数据。泊松回归模型和 负二项式回归模型的开发是为了了解两者之间的关系 大型卡车撞车以及交通和几何特征。根据模型拟合统计数据, 负二项式模型被认为是更好的模型,并被用于识别重要的 特征。负二项式模型中的重要变量是截面长度,数量 车道,水平曲率,垂直坡度,每个车道的年平均每日流量(AADT), 大卡车百分比,内胎肩宽度。公路设计特点,例如水平 弯曲度,垂直坡度和内肩宽是可以实现的 防止大卡车撞车。通过解决已确定的因素,可以通过以下方式促进安全 进行适当的工程改进。

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