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A COMBINED PRACTICAL SHORT TERM SPATIAL LOAD FORECASTING METHOD IN DISTRIBUTION SYSTEM

机译:分配系统中的一种实用短期空间载荷预测方法

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Spatial Load Forecasting (SLF) is the basic of distribution system planning. Both trending method and Land-Use based method have the same forecasting precision in short term load forecasting. A new method to estimate the feeder's load growth is proposed in this paper, which uses the grey theory, curve fit and Geographic Information System (GIS). The proposed method describes in detail. The real instance shows that the proposed method has the better result than other trending method. It shows that the results are quite reasonable and realizable for this study. It is fit for the limited computer resource especially, where it could replace the Land-Use based method.
机译:空间负荷预测(SLF)是分销系统规划的基本。基于趋势和基于土地使用的方法在短期负荷预测中具有相同的预测精度。本文提出了一种估计馈线负荷增长的新方法,它使用灰色理论,曲线拟合和地理信息系统(GIS)。所提出的方法详细描述。实例显示所提出的方法具有比其他趋势方法更好的结果。它表明结果对于这项研究来说是相当合理和可实现的。它适用于有限的计算机资源,特别是它可以取代基于土地使用的方法。

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