The Dynamic Immune Forecasting Method of the Airdrome Flight Delay under Considering the Stochastic Factors

摘要

There are many uncertain stochastic factors in the process of the airdrome flight delay forecast, especially the cumulate diversification and propagation effect of the flight delays. The paper is on the base of the immune detection for the airdrome flight delay status, considering the dynamic diversification and stochastic factors of the airdrome flight delays. Propose the dynamic immune forecasting method of the airdrome flight delays under the stochastic factors and establish corresponding collection of self, detecting cells, the information of antigens and the matching model between them through setting up correspondence between the biological immune mechanism and flight operating mechanism. The result shows the method can forecast the count of flight delay in the next period of time accurately and has a good real-time characteristic.