Reliability analysis for stiffened plate on the maximum entropy method

摘要

Stiffened plate is widely used in vessel structure because of its high bearing capacity and low weight so the research of failure probability for stiffened plate under explosion load has important engineering meaning. Stiffened plate under near-field explosion is taken as research subject, dynamite density and yield stress of plate are selected as random variables, the original values of one hundred groups of random variables are gotten through the random number generation program, and the moments of random variables are obtained. Based on failure criterion of displacement ductility, the performance function of structure is established, probability density function of performance function is fitted using maximum entropy method then the failure probability of stiffened plate structure is obtained. So as to solve the problem of calculate failure probability when the sample size is small and the probability density function is unknown.