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Study on spatial-temporal distribution and tendency variation characteristics of annual precipitation in Jiangxi Province

机译:江西省年降水量的时空分布及趋势变化特征研究

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摘要

In this paper, we analyze the daily precipitation data statistics of 17 meteorological stations from 1953 to 2010 in Jiangxi Province with the application of GIS technology and Mann-Kendall (M-K) method. The result shows that there is a single peak distribution for the monthly precipitation during the year in Jiangxi Province, the precipitation in main flood season from April to June is about 45% of the total precipitation, and the maximum and minimum of annual precipitation respectively accounts for 136.9 % and 66.9 % of the average amount. The conclusion also shows that the relatively high value areas from December to June are mostly located in the northeast, mainly concentrated in Yushan and Guixi, and those from July to November are westward to Lushan, located in the North of Jiangxi. Also, there is a basic consistency for the tendency value in the main flood season and the spatial variation trend of annual precipitation, and an overall decrease is shown gradually from northeast to southwest. Moreover, an insignificant rising tendency in the annual precipitation from 1953 to 2010 in Jiangxi is shown, with an abrupt change in 1993 and the confidence of 95%.
机译:本文利用GIS技术和Mann-Kendall(M-K)方法,对江西省1953年至2010年的17个气象站的日降水数据进行了统计分析。结果表明,江西省年降水量呈单峰分布,4-6月主汛期降水量约占总降水量的45%,年降水量的最大值和最小值分别占占平均值的136.9%和66.9%。结论还表明,12月至6月相对较高价值的地区大部分位于东北,主要集中在玉山和桂溪,7月至11月相对价值较高的地区则向西到江西北部的庐山。另外,主汛期的趋势值与年降水量的空间变化趋势基本一致,并且从东北向西南逐渐呈总体下降趋势。而且,从1953年到2010年江西的年降水量显示出微不足道的上升趋势,1993年发生了突变,置信度为95%。

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