The Formation Mechanism of the Unexpected Events of the Civil Aviation Transportation System in the Theory of Dissipative Structure

摘要

The dissipative structure theory suggests that whether an ordered system in the development process of evolution moves towards more advanced and ordered development or disordered development is determined by the random factors near the bifurcation point. In this article, this will be applied to civil aviation transportation system emergencies. First, it is pointed out that the civil aviation transportation system is a dissipative structure. Second, the dissipative structure theory is used to analyze the emergencies formation mechanism of the civil aviation transportation system. Finally, an effective civil aviation regulator is built to reduce the internal entropy increase, and the civil aviation incident management mechanisms is established to control the random fluctuations to prevent and reduce the adverse impact of civil aviation crises. With the development of the national economy, the civil aviation transportation industry in China developed rapidly. Since 2005 the total turnover volume of civil aviation transportation has ranked second in the world. This remarkable achievement indicates that China has become the major power of the world's civil aviation, but the continuous expansion of transportation and passenger volume greatly increases the probability of emergencies and brings many problems and challenges to the civil aviation. As a high-risk industry, civil aviation should improve management, prevent the accidents, and enhance the emergency response capability in order to push forward the progress of the whole civil aviation industry in China. The dissipative structure theory in thermodynamics suggests that, in the process of evolution, whether an ordered system moves towards more advanced and ordered development or disordered is determined by the random factors nearby the bifurcation point. The system referred to in this theory can also be applied to the civil aviation transportation system. In this article, the formation reasons of the civil aviation transportation system emergencies will be studied under the perspective of the dissipative structure theory, and the corresponding pre-control management measures will be brought out.