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The Need and Opportunity for Improved Uncertainty Quantification and Reporting for Nondestructive Assay

机译:改进不确定性定量分析和无损检测报告的需求和机会

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In order to be useful a physical measurement or calculation must be assigned a justifiable statement of theassociated total measurement uncertainty (TMU) which is fit for purpose. Uncertainty quantification (UQ) is the processof placing probabilistic bounds on the confidence we have in our state of knowledge or understanding, reporting thebounds, and explaining how the bounds were obtained. UQ is a vital aspect in quality nondestructive assays (NDA).Guidance available to the NDA community on formulating and expressing uncertainties is scattered throughouttechnique-specific reports. It is difficult to find, often not current, and can be confusing because of the variety ofnotations and terminology that have been used over the years. ASTM sub-committee C26.10 is responsible for writingand maintaining guides and standards on a diverse range of commonly used NDA methods for nuclear safety,safeguards, security, and waste. Constructing and verifying total measurement uncertainty budgets that are suitable forthe end user has been recognized as a complex and specialist task. Statistical methods and tools have advancedsubstantially in the past decade rendering certain previous assumptions and simplifications unnecessary. Theopportunity to create a rational and consistent UQ framework across techniques is also evident and will promote betterunderstanding and good practice. To address these issues, preparation of a consensus guide for the determination ofTMU in NDA measurement results has begun. This is intended to be a valuable resource for, amongst others, subjectmatter experts, instrument operators, instrument designers, facility managers, instructors, and end users of NDA data. Inthis paper we discuss the importance of this activity to the NDA measurement community and solicit input to theprocess. We illustrate the discussion with a pertinent few examples.
机译:为了有用,必须为物理测量或计算分配合理的说明。 符合目的的相关总测量不确定度(TMU)。不确定度量化(UQ)是过程 将概率界限置于我们对我们的知识或理解状态的信心中, 界限,并说明如何获得界限。 UQ是质量无损检测(NDA)中至关重要的方面。 NDA社区可用于制定和表达不确定性的指南分散在各处 特定于技术的报告。很难找到(通常不是最新的),并且可能由于多种多样的原因而造成混乱 多年来使用的符号和术语。 ASTM小组委员会C26.10负责撰写 并维持有关各种常用的NDA核安全方法的指南和标准, 保障,安全和浪费。构建和验证适用于以下方面的总测量不确定度预算: 最终用户已被认为是一项复杂而又专业的任务。统计方法和工具先进 在过去的十年中,基本上没有必要进行某些先前的假设和简化。这 也很明显有机会建立跨技术的合理且一致的UQ框架,并将更好地促进 理解和良好做法。为了解决这些问题,需要制定共识指南来确定 TMU在NDA中的测量结果已经开始。这旨在成为除其他主题外的宝贵资源 问题专家,仪器操作员,仪器设计者,设施经理,讲师和NDA数据的最终用户。在 本文我们讨论了这项活动对NDA衡量社区的重要性,并征求了有关机构的意见。 过程。我们用一些相关的例子来说明讨论。

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