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How They Vote: Issue-Adjusted Models of Legislative Behavior

机译:他们如何投票:经过立法调整的立法行为模型

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We develop a probabilistic model of legislative data that uses the text of the bills to uncover lawmakers' positions on specific political issues. Our model can be used to explore how a lawmaker's voting patterns deviate from what is expected and how that deviation depends on what is being voted on. We derive approximate posterior inference algorithms based on variational methods. Across 12 years of legislative data, we demonstrate both improvement in heldout predictive performance and the model's utility in interpreting an inherently multi-dimensional space.
机译:我们开发了一种立法数据的概率模型,该模型使用法案的文本来揭示立法者在特定政治问题上的立场。我们的模型可用于探讨议员的投票方式如何偏离预期,以及这种偏离如何取决于所投票的内容。我们推导了基于变分方法的近似后验推理算法。在12年的立法数据中,我们证明了改进的预测性能和模型在解释固有的多维空间方面的效用。

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