The sustainable development of Hainan's port construction has resulted in a sharp increase in ship traffic density in Qiongzhou Strait, which is impacted by strong wind and waves. Thus navigation safety of ships under different wind scales becomes critical. This paper made an analysis of shipwrecks and the number of various types of ships in service in the research area. Meanwhile, based on meteorological conditions in Hainan, the waves were simulated by using the nested SWAN wave model. After that, combining ALARP with wave height and using risk analysis theory, a risk evaluation for ship navigation security was established. Finally, the risk evaluation model was applied to two directional routes in Qiongzhou Strait. The model could provide the risk situation that ships may encounter when they are sailing intuitively and provide a reference to water traffic safety early warning. The study may reduce the numbers of shipwrecks in Qiongzhou Strait.
展开▼
