Modelling Near Future Regional Climate Change for Germany and Africa

摘要

The scope of regional climate simulations carried out at the Institute for Meteorol ogy and Climate Research (IMK) of Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT) using the regional climate model (RCM) COSMO-CLM (CCLM) has been extended dur ing the last years. Having had the focus first on Southwest Germany [1]. the area of interest has then been extended to the whole of Germany for the assessment of changes in flood risk for medium and small mountainous river catchments [2, 3]. These simulations span the years 1971-2000 to rep resent the climate of the recent past and the years 2011-2040 and 2021-2050 to analyse the climate change during the next few decades.