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SPACE-TIME EXTREMES IN SEA STORMS

机译:海洋风暴中的时空极端

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We present a stochastic model of sea storms to predict the maximum height of the wave surface over a given area during storms. To do so, we exploit the theory of Euler Characteristics of random excursion sets combined with a generalization of Boccotti's equivalent triangular storm model (Boccotti, 2000) that describes an actual storm history in the form of a generic power law (Fedele and Arena, 2010). An analytical solution for the return period of extreme wave events over a given area and the associated statistical properties are given. We then assess the relative validity of the new model and its predictions by analyzing wave measurements retrieved from NOAA-NODC buoys moored offshore of the Atlantic and Pacific coasts.
机译:我们提出了海风暴的随机模型,以预测暴风雨期间给定区域内海浪表面的最大高度。为此,我们利用随机偏移集的欧拉特征理论与Boccotti的等效三角风暴模型(Boccotti,2000)的推广相结合,该模型以一般幂定律的形式描述了实际的风暴历史(Fedele和Arena,2010年)。 )。给出了给定区域内极端波事件返回周期的解析解以及相关的统计特性。然后,我们通过分析从大西洋和太平洋沿岸停泊的NOAA-NODC浮标获得的波浪测量值,评估新模型及其预测的相对有效性。

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