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Urban Road Planning: A Safety Perspective

机译:城市道路规划:安全角度

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摘要

The planning process is the first stage to incorporate the safety analysis of the road urban network. This paper provides a tool that allows the analysis of the potential accident risk at urban segments using information available at road planning process. The main points decided in the planning stage - land-use and the road function classification - were used as explanatory variables. Other variables, as control variables, were included such as traffic flow, segment length, minor intersections density and time trend. Generalized linear modeling techniques were used to model accident data from Porto, Portugal. The models outcomes demonstrated that all the variables are statistically significant and according to the expectation. Using the "percentage explained" by the model it can be concluded that although the traffic flow was the strongest variable, the land-use and road function classification have improved the "percentage explained" by the model.
机译:规划过程是纳入道路城市网络安全分析的第一阶段。本文提供了一种工具,该工具可以使用道路规划过程中可用的信息来分析城市部分的潜在事故风险。在规划阶段确定的要点-土地利用和道路功能分类-用作解释变量。其他变量(如控制变量)也包括在内,例如交通流量,路段长度,次要交叉路口密度和时间趋势。使用广义线性建模技术对来自葡萄牙波尔图的事故数据进行建模。模型结果表明,所有变量均具有统计学意义,并符合预期。使用模型的“解释的百分比”可以得出结论,尽管交通流量是最强的变量,但土地使用和道路功能分类已改善了模型的“解释的百分比”。

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