首页> 外文会议>European Photovoltaic Solar Energy Conference and Exhibition >HOW MUCH PV ENERGY WILL I PRODUCE TOMORROW? A FORECASTING TOOL WHICH FITS THE FUTURE CONDITIONS ON THE FRENCH ELECTRICITY MARKET
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HOW MUCH PV ENERGY WILL I PRODUCE TOMORROW? A FORECASTING TOOL WHICH FITS THE FUTURE CONDITIONS ON THE FRENCH ELECTRICITY MARKET

机译:我将如何产生明天的光伏能源?适应法国电力市场未来状况的预测工具

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The contribution of solar energy generation assets to the French electrical grid is fast growing. Because the weather isintrinsically fluctuating and chaotic and photovoltaic production is obviously connected to weather conditions, thesupply of photovoltaic energy is fluctuating and chaotic as well. But the electrical grid must be balanced at any time.To control the solar energy penetration into the network while keeping it balanced, photovoltaic production patternmust be anticipated [1, 2]. That is how weather forecasts become very helpful to manage solar plants. Photovoltaic isactually exempt from establishing a production guideline within French rules (unlike other energy plants), so as tosupport the growing of renewable energy. However, when the percentage of unforeseeable energy exceeds athreshold of 30% on a network, the energy administrator is allowed to disconnect a producer without any financialcompensation. Such a threshold is actually frequently reached in several French insular departments and territories(French Caribbean islands, Réunion, Corse, …). Unfortunately, this threshold will not promote investments inphotovoltaic plants.Our Vision - Lately, wind farms are asked to provide a production guideline as any other energy producer. Webelieve that, sooner or later, a similar rule will be applied on solar farms, which will allow the removal of thethreshold on the share of unpredictable energy injected on the network. Otherwise, there is no doubt that a tool toforecast the production will help photovoltaic producers and network managers.
机译:太阳能发电资产对法国电网的贡献正在快速增长。因为天气是 内在波动和混乱,光伏发电显然与天气状况有关, 光伏能源的供应也在波动并且混乱。但是电网必须随时保持平衡。 为了控制太阳能渗透到网络中的同时保持其平衡,光伏生产模式 必须预料到[1、2]。这就是天气预报对管理太阳能发电厂非常有用的方法。光伏是 实际上不受法国法规(与其他能源厂不同)建立生产准则的限制,以便 支持可再生能源的发展。但是,当不可预见的能量百分比超过 如果网络上的阈值达到30%,则可以允许能源管理员在没有任何财务费用的情况下断开生产者的连接 赔偿。实际上,法国的几个岛屿部门和领地经常达到这种门槛 (法国加勒比海岛屿,留尼汪岛,科西嘉岛,…)。不幸的是,这个门槛不会促进对 光伏电站。 我们的愿景-最近,要求风电场像其他任何能源生产商一样提供生产指南。我们 相信迟早会有类似的规定适用于太阳能发电场,这将允许拆除太阳能发电场。 在网络上注入不可预测的能量份额的阈值。否则,毫无疑问, 预测产量将有助于光伏生产商和网络经理。

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