A Failure Detection and Prediction Mechanism for Enhancing Dependability of Data Centers

摘要

Modern data centers continue to grow in their scale and complexity. They are changing dynamically as well due to the addition and removal of system components, changing execution environments, frequent updates and upgrades, online repairs and more. Classical reliability theory and conventional methods do rarely consider the actual slate of a system and are therefore not capable to reflect the dynamics of runtime systems and failure processes. In this paper, we present an unsupervised failure detection and prediction method using an ensemble of Bayesian models. It characterizes normal execution states of the system and detects anomalous behaviors. We implement a prototype of our failure detection and prediction mechanism and evaluate its performance on a data center test platform. Experimental results show that our proposed method can forecast failure dynamics with high accuracy.