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Predicative Analysis of Financial Revenue of Hebei Province

机译:河北省财政收入预测分析

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The financial revenue is an important method of the state macro control, the forecasting for which is influenced by various factors. For this, the results are not enough reasonable solely depending on a single forecasting, thereby, we apply the combination forecasting which takes comprehensive account of various factors to forecast the financial revenue of Hebei Province. Firstly of all, the regression forecasting model and the gray prediction model are separately created according to the financial revenue; the combination forecasting model is created afterwards; and then these models are compared with each other; at last, the conclusions are obtained by assessing the forecasting effects.
机译:财政收入是国家宏观调控的重要手段,其预测受到多种因素的影响。为此,仅仅依靠单一的预测结果是不够合理的,因此,我们采用综合考虑各种因素的组合预测来预测河北省的财政收入。首先,根据财政收入分别建立回归预测模型和灰色预测模型。随后创建组合预测模型;然后将这些模型相互比较;最后,通过评估预测效果得出结论。

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