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SEISMIC PSA IN GERMANY

机译:德国地震PSA

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摘要

The German regulatory guide for nuclear power plants demands plant specific Probabilistic Safety Analyses (PSA) including External Events. In 2005, a new Methodology Guideline (Methodenband) based on the current state of science and technology was released to provide the analyst with a set of suitable tools and methodologies for the analysis of all PSA events. In the case of earthquakes a staggered procedure is suggested which requires a probabilistic analysis only for those nuclear power plants with an intensity for the design basis earthquake above I_(qbe) > 6. For earthquake intensities I_(DBe) between 6 and 7, a reduced analysis is possible. For earthquake intensities I_(DBe) above 7, a full scope analysis is mandatory. In Germany the seismic hazard curve is determined as a function of the intensity of the earthquakes. Compared to a procedure suggested in the Methodenband, a more realistic procedure to implement the hazard curve in a seismic PSA by using realistic site specific response spectra is presented, as well as the procedure to consider these spectra in the fragility analysis. Also an approach for the reduced analysis will be presented. Additionally, experiences from performed seismic PSA are discussed.
机译:德国针对核电厂的监管指南要求进行包括外部事件在内的特定于工厂的概率安全分析(PSA)。 2005年,基于当前科学技术水平发布了新的《方法学指南》(Methodenband),为分析人员提供了一套用于分析所有PSA事件的合适工具和方法学。对于地震,建议采用交错程序,仅对那些设计强度大于I_(qbe)> 6的核电厂进行概率分析。对于6至7之间的地震强度I_(DBe),减少分析是可能的。对于7级以上的地震烈度I_(DBe),必须进行全面分析。在德国,地震危险曲线是根据地震强度确定的。与Methodenband中建议的程序相比,提出了一种更实际的程序,该程序通过使用实际的特定于现场的响应谱在地震PSA中实现危险曲线,并在脆弱性分析中考虑了这些谱。还将提出一种简化分析的方法。此外,还讨论了已执行的地震PSA的经验。

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