A DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEM FOR DO PREDICTION BASED ON FUZZY MODEL AND NEURAL NETWORK

摘要

Dissolved oxygen (DO) concentration plays a very important role in fish life and aquaculture, but DO prediction is very difficult. So a decision support system for DO prediction based on fuzzy model and neural network was attempted. The paper was based on vast monitored data, every day detecting for two years, in aquaculture pond in North China for two years. This is a preliminary attempt towards a wider use of Artificial Neural Networks in the management of aquaculture water quality. It proposes a model to be used effectively in prediction of DO concentration in aquaculture. This is really a crucial task, especially during the long dry summer months. The prediction of potential risk due to low DO is also very important. This data volume was divided in the training subset comprising of 106 cases and in the testing subset containing 26 cases. The input parameters are sunlight, wind speed, temperature, water temperature, air pressure, pH value and NH-NH3. Consequently three structural and seven dynamic factors are considered. After several and extended training-testing efforts a Modular Artificial Neural Network was determined to be the optimal one.