System Dynamics Modeling of High Technology Industry Development in China

摘要

High technology industry is a complicated, multiple information feedback and non-linearsystem. Its developing process includes the interaction of many factors from the interior andexterior of the system. The dynamics of high technology industry development (HTID) in the fieldis influenced by a series of factors. The motivation that drove the effort to study the dynamics ofHTID is to analyze two issues: (1) How corporate R&D intensity, and the proportion betweencorporate internal R&D fee and technology import fee have effect on HTID; (2) How the behaviorpatterns of government have influence on HTID. To analyze these issues, a formal model ----HTID SD model was built. The main conclusions are as follow: (1) At the different stage, Chinesegovernment should choose appropriate behavior pattern. (2) During the transitional economy, themain work of Chinese government should create favorable entrepreneurial environment; offerpolicy and regulation to minimize institutional obstacles of firms’ innovation.