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Probabilistic forecasts in multiobjective analysis for reservoir operations

机译:水库运行的多目标分析中的概率预测

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摘要

Because of increased, competing demands for eservoir benefits, decision makers are finding it increasingly more difficult to operate multipurpose reservoirs. Multipurpose reservoir operations call for strategic decisions that balance potentially competing goals and oeprational risks throughout the year. A risk-based, multiobjective decision framework that helps evaluate strategic tradeoffs for reservoir operations over both the long-and short-term operational horizon is the focus of this paper.
机译:由于对水库效益的竞争需求不断增加,决策者发现操作多功能水库的难度越来越大。多功能水库运营需要战略决策,以在全年中平衡潜在的相互竞争的目标和运营风险。本文的重点是基于风险的多目标决策框架,该框架有助于评估长期和短期运营范围内水库运营的战略权衡。

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