Evaluations of multi-seasonal predictions of SSTA over the tropical Pacific Ocean and summer rainfall in East Asia in 2001by the climate models

摘要

Multi-seasonal predictions have been conducted by several climate models of National Climate Center which are the AGCM95, AOGCM95, RegCM95, IPOGCM95, A-IPOGCM95, OSU/NCC and SAOMS95. All of those models predicted the summer precipitation over East Asia or/and the annual SSTA over the tropical Pacific Ocean in the Modeling Prediction Workshop, March 2001 in China. Several climate models of other Institutes such as IAP and CAMS/ZS also jointed this Workshop. The characteristics of climate models that did the annual predictions of SSTA over the tropical Pacific Ocean in 2001 have been shown in Table 1. Table 2 shows the characteristics of climate models that did the multi-seasonal predictions of summer rainfall over East Asia in 2001.