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摘要

To assess the feasibility of proposed launch schedules for operational flights of the Space Shuttle, a simulation model has been developed for Shuttle turnaround flow processing operations. Taking into account queueing delays due to the limited capacity of ground processing facilities, the model estimates flight starting dates which are required to meet a given launch schedule with a specified level of confidence. The results of an extensive sensitivity analysis based on the model indicate that the currently projected flight schedules are too optimistic and that the long-range ground turnaround time for an orbiter will substantially exceed the current goal of 28 days.

机译:

为评估拟议的航天飞机运行飞行发射时间表的可行性,已为航天飞机周转流程处理操作开发了一个仿真模型。考虑到由于地面处理设施的能力有限而导致的排队延误,该模型以指定的置信度估算了满足给定起飞时间表所需的飞行开始日期。根据该模型进行的广泛敏感性分析的结果表明,目前预计的飞行时间表过于乐观,而且轨道飞行器的远程地面周转时间将大大超过目前的28天目标。

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