The rapid growth of multinational corporations has hastened the need for the development of robust models to handle the increased risk and complexity. Particularly in capital budgeting, careful analysis and adequate reflection of the critical variables are essential. The great number of relevant variables, their significant interrelationships, and the high degree of uncertainty render mathematical models highly complex or infeasible to solve. To overcome these shortcomings, a "Hertz-type" simulation model is formulated for the multinational firm. The important international variables---foreign exchange rates, foreign tax methodology, host government controls, and other social, economic, and political factors---are reflected in the model. A two stage approach is utilized: first, investment projects are analyzed by the subsidiary and if they pass this first screening they are proposed for the parent's consideration; second, the parent evaluates the attractiveness of projects from its point of view and ranks proposals for acceptance considering all global opportunities. The model is designed so that sensitivity analysis can be easily performed.
跨国公司的快速增长催生了开发健壮的模型以应对不断增加的风险和复杂性的需求。特别是在资本预算中,至关重要的是仔细分析和充分反映关键变量。大量的相关变量,它们之间的显着相互关系以及高度的不确定性使数学模型非常复杂或难以解决。为了克服这些缺点,为跨国公司制定了“赫兹型”仿真模型。该模型反映了重要的国际变量-汇率,外国税收方法,东道国政府的控制以及其他社会,经济和政治因素。采用了两个阶段的方法:首先,子公司对投资项目进行分析,如果这些项目通过了第一次筛选,则提议由母公司考虑。其次,母公司从其角度评估项目的吸引力,并考虑所有全球机遇,对接受建议进行排序。设计该模型以便可以轻松进行敏感性分析。 P>
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