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Project risk allocation through contingent cost allocation

机译:通过或有成本分配进行项目风险分配

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In a joint project, the project cost is allocated to the participants. How to allocate the cost has been discussed mainly in cooperative game theory assuming that the cost is certain. If the project cost is uncertain, each participant is exposed to the risk of allocated cost. Thus the risk should be allocated according to the risk acceptance level for each participant. For this risk allocation, a stochastic cooperative game is useful rather than a cooperative game based on the certainty of cost. We develop a contingent cost allocation scheme in which the risk is transferred mutually in order to attain efficient risk allocation by a stochastic cooperative game. As a result, the efficient risk allocation is derived so that all participants are better off than the allocation which does not transfer the risk mutually.
机译:在联合项目中,项目成本分配给参与者。假设成本是确定的,则主要在合作博弈理论中讨论了如何分配成本。如果项目成本不确定,则每个参与者都有分配成本的风险。因此,应根据每个参与者的风险接受程度来分配风险。对于此风险分配,基于成本确定性的随机合作博弈而非合作博弈是有用的。我们开发了一种或有成本分配方案,在该方案中,风险相互转移,以通过随机合作博弈获得有效的风险分配。结果,得出了有效的风险分配,因此与不相互转移风险的分配相比,所有参与者的状况都更好。

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