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The Regression Analysis of Tequila Effect in Chinese Financial Crisis

机译:中国金融危机中龙舌兰效应的回归分析

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摘要

In China, due mainly to financial fragility of the banking system vulnerability, and therefore how to solve banks' bad loans and vulnerability has been a key of discussion. After comparing international model disposal of bad loans,innovative on the current domestic banks take foreign banks acquiring state-owned banks to resolve financial fragility has been analyzed. By assuming that there exist linear correlation among the number of bad loans with principal annual loans, annual growth rate variation, annual local currency against the United States dollar volume, a Chinese state-owned commercial banks bad loans model is set up, the linear correlation is available in its multiple linear regression equation after the test, it hints that by the introduction of foreign capital and thus to address the vulnerability of China's banking industry maybe has a good result.
机译:在中国,由于金融脆弱性主要是银行体系的脆弱性,因此如何解决银行的不良贷款和脆弱性一直是讨论的重点。通过比较不良贷款的国际处置方式,分析了目前国内银行采取外资银行收购国有银行解决金融脆弱性的创新方法。通过假设不良贷款数量与本金年度贷款的不良贷款数量,年增长率变化,年度本币对美元数量之间存在线性关系,建立了中国国有商业银行不良贷款模型,线性相关性检验后可以在其多元线性回归方程中找到它,暗示通过引入外资从而解决中国银行业的脆弱性也许有很好的结果。

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