首页> 外文会议>International Symposium on Knowledge and Systems Sciences(KSS'2006); 20060922-25; Beijing(CN) >A STUDY ON DECISION-MAKING MODELS USING LONG-RANGE WEATHER FORECASTING SERVICES
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A STUDY ON DECISION-MAKING MODELS USING LONG-RANGE WEATHER FORECASTING SERVICES

机译:长距离天气预报服务决策模型的研究

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摘要

A weather information service, especially long-range weather forecasting, is needed for industry or business users. But it is not popular because uncertainties of long-range forecast prevent to utilize for business purpose. This paper presents the knowledge management for weather business, and one of the decision-making models using weather prediction. To define the needs of business users, collaboration with certified weather forecasters and specialists of business is required. The cost-loss model is useful for probability forecasting, and it fits for the long-range forecasting. This suggestion makes a hint of new weather information services.
机译:工业或商业用户需要气象信息服务,尤其是远程天气预报。但是它不受欢迎是因为远程预测的不确定性阻止了其用于商业目的。本文介绍了天气业务的知识管理,以及使用天气预报的决策模型之一。为了定义业务用户的需求,需要与经认证的天气预报员和业务专家进行协作。成本损失模型对于概率预测很有用,并且适合于长期预测。该建议暗示了新的天气信息服务。

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