A Conceptual Framework for Dynamic Modeling of Sustainable Development for Local Government in Latvia

摘要

This article presents a concept and theoretical specification for a system dynamics based model of sustainable development for local government ofKuldiga municipality in Kurzeme region, Latvia. Although Latvia aspires to the principles of sustainable development, there exists a relatively small number of theoretical studies and practical results in the area of simulation modeling of sustainable development. Therefore the proposed framework presents a novel approach in the context of spatial and regional planning in Latvia. The modeling framework is based on the concept of sustainable regional development as an unending process defined neither by fixed goals nor by specific means of achieving them. A sustainable region demands a mutual balance among economic, social, political and naturally environmental development. The dynamic modeling framework is considered as a useful tool in assisting decion-makers in development planning allowing to evaluate alternative scenarios and planning options.