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A hybrid model for short-term wind speed forecasting based on wavelet and Support Vector Machine

机译:基于小波和支持向量机的风速短期预测混合模型

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摘要

Accurate wind speed/power forecasts are necessary for the safety and economy of the renewable energy utilization. The wind speed forecasts can be obtained by statistical model based on historical data. In this paper, a new hybrid model is proposed based on the wavelet method and Support Vector Machine (SVM) method. The new w-SVM model is applied to obtain several-hours-ahead wind speed. The simulation results indicate that the w-SVM model has a better performance in forecasting accuracy comparing to the SVM model and other classical time series model.
机译:准确的风速/功率预测对于可再生能源利用的安全性和经济性至关重要。风速预报可以通过基于历史数据的统计模型获得。本文基于小波方法和支持向量机(SVM)方法提出了一种新的混合模型。新的w-SVM模型用于获得提前几个小时的风速。仿真结果表明,与SVM模型和其他经典时间序列模型相比,w-SVM模型具有更好的预测精度。

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