Rock slope risk analysis based on non-linear failure criterion

摘要

The probability of failure of a rock slope is generally estimated by using the Limit Equilibrium Method (LEM) in conjunction with a reliability analysis. Although the LEM is relatively simple and time efficient, recent studies have indicated that using the LEM may overestimate the factor of safety by 21%, when based on a non-linear failure criterion. Fortunately, the solutions presented by Li et al. (2008, 2009) can provide more accurate evaluations for rock slope stability as the numerical upper and lower bound limit analysis methods (2002a, 2002b, 2005) were employed. The advantages of these methods are used in this study to assess the rock slope probability of failure. The motivation is that with more accurate methods to evaluate the factor of safety, more economic designs can be performed.