QUANTIFICATION OF CAPACITY CREDIT AND RESERVE REQUIREMENTSFROM THE LARGE-SCALE INTEGRATION OF WIND ENERGY IN THEFRENCH POWER SYSTEM

摘要

The paper presents results of a detailed study carried out to simulate the integration of large amount of wind power inrnthe French power system. The targets set for France are between 10 000 and 14 000 MW of installed wind capacityrnby year 2010. In order to simulate the projected wind production, hourly wind speed measurements from 40 sitesrnspread over the country and covering a period of 3 years are used. The data reflect both temporal and spatialrncorrelations that are proper to the climate conditions in France. Then, realistic scenarios are built for the installation ofrnseveral levels of wind power based on appropriate assumptions. The simulation of each scenario provides a detailedrnprofile of the wind production at a national level. The paper presents the level of guaranteed wind power that isrnprovided for given probability for each scenario. The variability of the production is analyzed in order to define thernreserve or storage requirements to achieve a secure integration of wind power. Finally, an analysis is presented onrnhow wind generation can be integrated in the national power generation mix in France.