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Validating a connectionist model of financial diagnosis

机译:验证财务诊断的关联模型

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摘要

Several studies have demonstrated a superiority of neural networks as models for financial diagnosis. It has been proposed that the ability of these models to represent intermediate abstractions is a main reason for their superior performance. It has also been proposed that the represented intermediate abstractions resemble the diagnostic concepts used by skilled diagnosticians, and thus, that they have cognitive relevance. In this paper, we investigate these propositions applying an experimental methodology to obtain valid data sets of financial diagnoses. A multilayered perceptron model is developed and validated using cross validated performance measures and analyses of error term distributions and internal representations. The hidden units of the connectionist model represent intermediate abstractions explaining the model's superior performance, but the cognitive relevance of these intermediate abstractions is not obvious.
机译:多项研究已经证明了神经网络作为财务诊断模型的优越性。已经提出,这些模型表示中间抽象的能力是其优异性能的主要原因。还已经提出,所代表的中间抽象类似于熟练的诊断医生所使用的诊断概念,因此,它们具有认知相关性。在本文中,我们使用实验方法研究这些命题,以获得有效的财务诊断数据集。使用交叉验证的性能度量以及对误差项分布和内部表示的分析,开发并验证了多层感知器模型。连接主义模型的隐藏单元表示解释该模型优越性能的中间抽象,但是这些中间抽象的认知相关性并不明显。

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