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Load Forecasting of Ship Electronic power systen

机译:船舶电子电力系统负荷预测

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摘要

With the development of bigger size and more function in ships and more and more ships propelled by electric power, the demands to the ships power systems is getting larger. There are some traits in the ship's electric power, for example, the electric power dynamic control system need work frequently because of many kinds of electrical equipment, which are straight to affect the stabilization of the power system, so we need predict the change of the power load in time. In this paper, the power load forecasting technique is analyzed. Include wavelet forecasting technique, chaotic forecasting technique, and combined forecasting technique. The characteristics of various forecasting methods are pointed out. Through we predict the change of the electric power load in time and based on it we can control the change of power load with rational range by regulating the power distribution and ensure that ship power system will work well.
机译:随着船舶尺寸的增加和功能的发展以及越来越多的电力推动船舶的发展,对船舶动力系统的需求越来越大。船舶电力具有一些特性,例如,电力动态控制系统由于电气设备种类繁多而需要频繁工作,直接影响电力系统的稳定性,因此需要预测船舶动力的变化。及时供电。本文分析了电力负荷预测技术。包括小波预测技术,混沌预测技术和组合预测技术。指出了各种预测方法的特点。通过及时预测电力负荷的变化,并在此基础上,通过调节配电,可以在合理范围内控制电力负荷的变化,确保船舶电力系统正常运行。

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