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Economic modelling w ith fuzzy logic

机译:具有模糊逻辑的经济建模

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摘要

In this paper we demonstrate that a modelling strategy based on the appliation of fuzzy logic provides a powerful and efficient method for the estimation of non-linear and linear economic relationships. The procedure is particularly suitable for the estimation of ill-defined systems in which there is considerable uncertainty about the nature and range of key input variables and the underlying relationships of the model. To illustrate the potential benefits of the fuzzy logic approach, we use it to model the behaviour of the real wage in the United States over the period 1960-1995. The results suggest that the relationships in the model are robust and basically non-linear.
机译:在本文中,我们证明了基于模糊逻辑的建模策略为估算非线性和线性经济关系提供了一种强大而有效的方法。该过程特别适用于不确定系统的估计,在这些系统中,关键输入变量的性质和范围以及模型的基本关系存在很大的不确定性。为了说明模糊逻辑方法的潜在好处,我们使用它来对1960-1995年期间美国实际工资的行为进行建模。结果表明,模型中的关系是稳健的,并且基本上是非线性的。

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