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The Bifurcation and Chaos Analysis of Chinese Net Export under the Global Financial Crisis

机译:全球金融危机下中国净出口的分叉与混沌分析

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The global financial crisis has brought the adverse impact for the normal development of the world trade, and new trade protectionism led by the United States is prevalent, the export trade of China has been seriously affected. The paper has made the research of the issue of Chinese net export trade with the application of the non-linear dynamics. By constructing the non-linear dynamics model of the system of Chinese net export trade, the paper has analyzed the stability of the system, especially the bifurcation and chaos analysis of the model. The paper has researched the trans-critical bifurcation and the prediction of chaos of the system of Chinese net export, and proposed the related policy and the suggestion on how China could go out of the plight of the weak export demand and trade currently.
机译:全球金融危机给世界贸易的正常发展带来了不利影响,以美国为首的新贸易保护主义盛行,中国的出口贸易受到严重影响。本文运用非线性动力学方法对中国净出口贸易问题进行了研究。通过构建中国净出口贸易系统的非线性动力学模型,分析了系统的稳定性,特别是模型的分叉和混沌分析。本文研究了跨临界分叉和中国净出口体系混乱的预测,并提出了有关如何摆脱当前出口需求和贸易疲软困境的相关政策和建议。

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