The Study of the Dynamic Model of Technology Innovation Decision Based on the Profit Forecast

摘要

In this paper, technological innovation had been broken down into three stages, using price forecasting model market-oriented , the profit at different stages of technological innovation have been expressed with dynamic mathematical model. Subdivision of time variable on the third stage and calculation of equipment cost descript in detail changes of the options cost and profits in this important phase. Based on the principle of profit maximization, comparison of profits at three stages will supply basis for decision-making.