EP-20: SIMULATION AND FORECAST OF HEATING ENERGY CONSUMPTION WITH RESPECT TO THE TEMPERATURE BEHAVIOR OF A 'STANDARD HOUSE', IN DEPENDENCE OF ITS BUILDING TERMS OF PHYSICS AND METEOROLOGICAL PARAMETERS

摘要

The temperatur behavior of a building depends on the size of the external influence factors. The heatingrnrequirement for a house can be simulated by solving a first order differential equation system dependent onrnthe structural geometry, the properties of the employed construction materials, and on the external influencernfactors acting on the building in question.rnThe reverse also applies. That is, if the heating energy requirement and the meteorological weatherrnprogression are known, a multiple linear regression can be established and, by comparing coefficients, thernphysical structural factors can be inferred. When defining a standard heating house with a standardrngeometry and standard building materials, the number of these standard houses within a delineated area canrnbe estimated.rnThis basic procedural method permits both short-term and long-term prognostic heat consumption studies tornbe performed, based on a uniform, methodology. In contrast to conventional methods, the correlation factorrncan be improved from between 0.92 and 0.94 to 0.98 to 0.99.