Modeling of Subjective Choice in an Uncertain and Poorly Structured Environment

摘要

The paper considers a relevant problem of creating a strategy (model) of economic and social system development, which uses its members' information interaction mechanisms. A midpoint of such interaction is formation of compatible representations of aims, limitations, requirements, possibilities and directions for development. The paper shows that formulation of a strategy attains a special educational form in the context of semi structured, poorly formalized external environment with high degree of uncertainty organization. This educational forms should be based on the combination of casual (cause-effect) and theological (determined by aims, conceptual, realism) vision of the future and directions for development. The role of an executive management involves strategic training process control in the field where new strategies might appear and develop. Such controls should be based on understanding how a retrospective way of thinking leads to new options and choice of useful representations of a choice situation, how motivating factors and a value system affects choice processes, etc. These facts define the goal of the paper, which is focused on developing an approach to creating a model of choice of an agent, which forms its evolution aims endogenously, structures the environment and creates subjective representations of the desired future.