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Impugning alleged randomness

机译:干扰所谓的随机性

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摘要

According to a 1985 issue of New York Times, “The New Jersey Supreme Court today caught up with the Essex County Clerk and a Democrat who has conducted drawings for decades that have given Democrats the top ballot line in the county 40 times out of 41 times.” But the clerk wasn't punished. Here's another case of that sort, from Israel. In the 1980s the Israeli tax authorities encouraged the public to request invoices from plumbers, painters, etc. and send the invoices in; big prices were ruffled off. It turned out that the winner was none other than the Director of Customs and VAT at the time. The operation collapsed but the director wasn't punished. You may be convinced that such lotteries are rigged, but how would you argue that in the court of law? Yes, the probability of the suspicious outcome is negligible. However the probability of any particular outcome is negligible. What can you say? We attempt to furnish you with an argument.
机译:根据1985年《纽约时报》的报道,“新泽西州最高法院今天追赶了埃塞克斯郡的书记员和一名民主党人,他们进行了数十年的绘画,使民主党获得了该县最高选票的41倍。 。”但是店员没有受到惩罚。这是以色列的另一种情况。在1980年代,以色列税务机关鼓励公众索要水管工,油漆工等的发票,并将其寄送进来。高价被甩掉了。事实证明,当时的获胜者不过是海关和增值税总监。手术失败了,但导演没有受到惩罚。您可能会相信这种彩票是人为操纵的,但是您会如何在法院辩护呢?是的,可疑结果的可能性可以忽略不计。但是,任何特定结果的可能性都可以忽略不计。你能说什么?我们试图为您提供论据。

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