Evaluation of wind forecasts above sea surface obtained from numerical models of atmosphere

摘要

Wind parameter data sets, obtained from the mesoscale atmosphere model UMPL, were compared with data recorded by the MIG-1 measurement buoy of the Maritime Institute in Gdansk, which was anchored near the Hel Peninsula. Significant agreement between the simulation and field observations was achieved, and carried out statistical analysis allowed a qualitative assessment of model data used for analysing and predicting wind conditions over the open sea. An increase of the model resolution, especially in areas close to the coast, should significantly decrease existing inaccuracies.