A METHOD AND AN APPARATUS FOR COMPUTER-IMPLEMENTED PREDICTION OF POWER PRODUCTION OF ONE OR MORE WIND TURBINES IN A WIND FARM

摘要

The invention relates to a method for computer-implemented prediction of power production of one or more wind turbines in a wind farm, wherein during the operation of the wind farm the following steps are performed: obtaining first weather forecast data (WF1) for a given first time period (WIN_H), the first weather forecast data (WF1) being historical weather forecast data for the area of the wind farm; obtaining first power production data (PP1) of the wind farm for the given first time period (WIN_H), the first power production data (PP1) being historical power production data of the wind warm resulting from then actual environmental conditions in the area of the wind farm; obtaining second weather forecast data (WF2) for a given second time period (WIN_P), the second weather forecast data (WF2) being future weather forecast data for the area of the wind farm; determining second power production data (PP2) of the wind farm for the second time period (WIN_P) by processing the first weather forecast data (WF1), the first power production data (PP1) and the second weather forecast data (WF2) by a trained data driven model (MO), where the first weather forecast data (WF1), the first power production data (PP1) and the second weather forecast data (WF2) are fed as a digital input to the trained data driven model (MO) and the trained data driven model (MO) provides the second power production data (PP2) as a digital output, the second power production data (PP2) being a prediction of power production of the wind farm for the second time period (WIN_P).