Method of predicting infection epidemic by computer apparatus, computer device, and non-volatile readable storage medium

摘要

PROBLEM TO BE SOLVED: To provide a method for predicting an epidemic of an infectious disease. SOLUTION: In the infectious disease epidemic prediction method of the present invention, a step of acquiring time-series data of infectious disease monitoring and a corresponding time point of each infectious disease monitoring data in the time-series data are at a turning point of an epidemic season / non-epidemic season. The step of calculating the probability of belonging and acquiring the probability series, the step of determining the probability peak in the probability series to obtain the probability peak series, and the step of selecting the probability peaks in the probability peak series and based on the selected probability peaks Steps to obtain the turning point of the trendy season / non-popular season in the time series data, and the conversion including the rising turning point which is the starting point of the trendy season and the falling turning point which is the ending point of the trendy season for each trendy season / non-trendy season. Includes steps to determine the type of point. The present invention also provides a computer device and a readable storage medium. According to the present invention, efficient and rapid prediction of infectious disease epidemics can be realized. [Selection diagram] Fig. 1