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POWER DISTRIBUTION STATION AREA LOAD PREDICTION METHOD AND APPARATUS

机译:配电站面积负荷预测方法和装置

摘要

A power distribution station area load prediction method and an apparatus, in the technical field of power systems. First, acquiring historical load data and associated factor data of a power distribution station area for a set time period, then creating a prediction model comprising historic load data, related factor data, date type weighting, temperature factor effect weighting and power-off time effect weighting, and finally performing prediction of a future load value according to the model. The present method not only considers the effects of temperature and date type, but also considers the effect of power-off time, and the created prediction model can more precisely describe a relationship between load and various factors, improving prediction accuracy; the present solution also does not require complicated data processing, and is simple and easy to implement.
机译:电力系统技术领域的配电站区域负载预测方法和装置。首先,获取用于设定的时间段的配电站区域的历史负载数据和相关因子数据,然后创建包括历史负载数据,相关因子数据,日期类型加权,温度因数效果加权和断电时间效果的预测模型加权,并且最后根据模型执行预测未来负载值。本方法不仅考虑了温度和日期类型的影响,还考虑了电源关闭时间的效果,并且创建的预测模型可以更精确地描述负载和各种因素之间的关系,提高预测精度;本解决方案也不需要复杂的数据处理,简单易于实现。

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