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FUZZY DEMAND FORESEEING CONTROL METHOD

机译:模糊需求预测控制方法

摘要

The present invention improves the deviation more effectively by applying the Fuzzy technique to the conventional prediction operation method as a means for reducing the deviation of the prediction power for the demand prediction operation method. Therefore, it has been improved to reduce unnecessary alarms and control occurring at the beginning of the time limit that has been presented as a problem in the conventional scheme. In other words, Fuzzy prediction algorithm is adopted as the most important demand prediction algorithm in demand control devices.;In the conventional predictive computation method, since the predicted power value is calculated from the power change amount of a certain time to the end of the time limit, the temporary variation of the load greatly affects the predicted power value. In particular, the deviation of the predicted power tends to be large in the first half. In contrast, the present invention calculates the predicted power value by fuzzy inference from the current power trend and the current power trend, so that such deviation can be minimized.;As a result, it is possible to achieve more reliable and safe power management by eliminating unnecessary load blocking through proper power prediction.
机译:本发明通过将模糊技术应用于常规预测操作方法作为减小需求预测操作方法的预测功率的偏差的手段,可以更有效地改善偏差。因此,已经进行了改进以减少在时间限制开始时发生的不必要的警报和控制,这在传统方案中已成为问题。换句话说,模糊预测算法被用作需求控制设备中最重要的需求预测算法。在传统的预测计算方法中,由于预测的功率值是根据一定时间的功率变化量计算出的,因此需要预测功率值。在时间限制内,负载的临时变化会极大地影响预测功率值。特别地,预测功率的偏差在上半年趋于大。相反,本发明通过基于当前功率趋势和当前功率趋势的模糊推断来计算预测功率值,从而可以使这种偏差最小化。结果,可以通过以下方式实现更可靠和安全的功率管理。通过适当的功率预测消除不必要的负载阻塞。

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