LONG-TERM PREDICTION METHOD OF PHENOMENON HAVING PERIODIC CHARACTERISTICS

摘要

PROBLEM TO BE SOLVED: To predict a month average atmospheric temperature and a month average rainfall of a probability phenomenon such as meteolology repeated over a specific period. SOLUTION: A transition probability density function or a transition matrix at respective time in one period of the probability phenomenon, having a period when comprehensively looking at several observation points is predicted from existing data to obtain an predicting value of the respective time, a reliable section of a true value and the reliable factor.