Method for simulating project task risk impact

摘要

The inventive method for simulating impacts of project task risk factor on total project attributes comprises the steps of determining a number of mathematical expectations of said total project attributes for a set of different values of said first task risk factor, said total project attribute depending on aggregated project task attributes and project task interdependencies, said expectations being determined by performing a large number of different realizations of possible scenarios with stochastic risk factors according to a given risk factor probability distribution of at least one second project task, while keeping said first task risk factor constant; determining the standard deviation of said expectations, said standard deviation quantifying the impact of said first task risk factor on said total project attribute.