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AN OPTIMAL OPERATIONAL POLICY SYSTEM FOR DROUGHT MANAGEMENT AND METHOD FOR APPLYING THE SAME
AN OPTIMAL OPERATIONAL POLICY SYSTEM FOR DROUGHT MANAGEMENT AND METHOD FOR APPLYING THE SAME
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机译:干旱管理的最佳运营政策系统及其应用方法
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摘要
An optimal operational policy system and its application method for drought management are provided to effectively prepare water shortage by applying to a dam supplying water. A normal operational policy model(130) unites an ESP(Ensemble Streamflow Prediction) which predicts the probabilistic streamflow and an SSDP considering the uncertainty of the future inflow. An emergency operation model(140) unites a hedging rule for bracing for drought and an SSDP. An ADI(Aggregate Drought Index) trigger(110) is a boundary value of the index classifying presence and depth of drought the integration drought index into the basis. A water storage trigger(120) is a reference water level which is set up according to the reliability assessment by the operation period unit.
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