FUTURE POPULATION PREDICTION DEVICE, METHOD, AND PROGRAM

摘要

PROBLEM TO BE SOLVED: To predict a future population for each area narrower than a municipal unit.;SOLUTION: A future population prediction method includes: calculating a residence preference degree P for each mesh indicating livability in the area of each mesh, based on the deviation of individual population change in each mesh specified by a first actual population number for each mesh and a second actual population number for each mesh to an average population change in each mesh specified by the amount of population change of first and second actual total population numbers, in a residence preference degree calculation part 15A; calculating a total amount of population change indicating the amount of population change of the second actual total population number and the future total population number, in a total population change amount calculation part 15B; and predicting a future population number for each mesh at a future time point, from the average population change in each mesh specified by the second actual total population number and the future total population number, the second actual population number for each mesh, and the residence preference degree for each mesh, in a mesh population prediction part 15C.;COPYRIGHT: (C)2012,JPO&INPIT