Returns-Timing for Multiple Market Factor Risk Models

摘要

Until recently, risk models have been built using low frequency data, such as weekly or monthly data. This approach has resulted in a necessary compromise between model stability for which one needs a long history of data, and model responsiveness, for which, the shorter the history, the better. Stability plus responsiveness can be achieved if one uses daily data, which allows for a large number of observations to be used in model estimation without using long out-of-date data. Daily data have other problems, however, as the differing closing times of markets worldwide may induce spurious relationships across model factors. In particular, correlations between markets may appear lower than they truly are due to a market lag To address such issues, a stable, daily data-based factor risk model is described which takes account of the differing market closing times and corrects the model factor correlations and specific returns accordingly.