A method for predicting the occurrence of a future political event includes: storing a plurality of event data entries, each entry including data related to a past political event including at least an event category associated with the related political event and one or more past transaction behaviors; storing a plurality of transaction data entries, each entry including data related to a payment transaction conducted in a predetermined geographic area including at least transaction data; identifying one or more current transaction behaviors based on the transaction data included in each transaction data entry; identifying a specific event data entry based on a correspondence between the identified one or more current transaction behaviors and the one or more past transaction behaviors included in the specific event data entry; and predicting an event associated with the event category included in the specific event data entry in the predetermined geographic area.
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