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PREDICTION OF LOCAL AND NETWORK-WIDE IMPACT OF NON-RECURRENT EVENTS IN TRANSPORTATION NETWORKS
PREDICTION OF LOCAL AND NETWORK-WIDE IMPACT OF NON-RECURRENT EVENTS IN TRANSPORTATION NETWORKS
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机译:预测运输网络中非经常性事件在本地和整个网络的影响
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摘要
A method (and structure) for predicting an impact of an incident on a system. Incident properties and traffic conditions of at least one historical incident are received, to calibrate one or more parameters of a traffic model, as executed by a processor on a computer. Current traffic conditions, a prediction of recurrent traffic conditions, and an indication of a current incident on the system are received. A duration of the current incident and traffic conditions at a location at which the current incident occurs are predicted. Predicted traffic conditions in the system are calculated, based on the calibrated model parameters, the current traffic conditions, the prediction of recurrent traffic conditions, and the predicted duration of the current incident and traffic conditions at the current incident location.
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